Tenn St
W-L: ( 5-22) PR = 92.1912Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Middle Tenn CUSA (17-15, 94.1) 53-59 1107 H Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 80-85 1112 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 39-** 1114 H UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 58-78 1119 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 82-76 1123 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 43-99 1129 H Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 53-64 1207 H Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 55-63 1211 H Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 51-81 1218 H UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 79-86 1220 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 76-72 1230 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 63-69 103 H Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 39-76 108 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 59-76 110 H Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 45-71 115 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 70-62 122 H SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 41-63 124 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 58-91 129 H Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 54-60 202 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 49-68 205 H Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 60-65 207 A We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 87-77 214 H Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 53-79 219 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 70-75 221 H SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 52-67 226 H SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 52-89 228 A UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 67-60
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Middle Tenn 53-59 -6 -2 -0.15
1107 H Wright St 80-85 -5 0 -1.68
1112 H TCU 39-** -83 -5 0.00
1114 H UT Arlington 58-78 -20 -1 -1.05
1119 A No Alabama 82-76 6 -1 + 3.22
1123 H Vanderbilt 43-99 -56 -6 0.00
1129 H Will&Mary 53-64 -11 -1 -1.00
1207 H Lipscomb 55-63 -8 0 -1.69
1211 H Chattanooga 51-81 -30 -1 -0.57
1218 H UT Martin 79-86 -7 -1 -1.19
1220 A SE MO St 76-72 4 -1 + 3.13
1230 H Tenn Tech 63-69 -6 -1 -0.63
103 H Little Rock 39-76 -37 -1 -0.60
108 H We Illinois 59-76 -17 -3 0.00
110 H Ea Illinois 45-71 -26 0 - -2.29
115 A Morehead St 70-62 8 -2 + 3.54
122 H SIUE 41-63 -22 -1 -0.81
124 H Lindenwood 58-91 -33 -2 0.00
129 H Little Rock 54-60 -6 -1 -0.60
202 H Tenn Tech 49-68 -19 -1 -0.63
205 H Ea Illinois 60-65 -5 0 - -2.29
207 A We Illinois 87-77 10 -3 ++ 4.00
214 H Morehead St 53-79 -26 -2 -0.48
219 H Lindenwood 70-75 -5 -2 0.00
221 H SIUE 52-67 -15 -1 -0.81
226 H SE MO St 52-89 -37 -1 -0.89
228 A UT Martin 67-60 7 -1 + 2.83
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H Ea Illinois 45-71 -26 0 - -2.29 205 H Ea Illinois 60-65 -5 0 - -2.29 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A We Illinois 87-77 10 -3 ++ 4.00 1119 A No Alabama 82-76 6 -1 + 3.22 1220 A SE MO St 76-72 4 -1 + 3.13 115 A Morehead St 70-62 8 -2 + 3.54 228 A UT Martin 67-60 7 -1 + 2.83 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Middle Tenn (17-15, 94.1) 53-59 -5.85 5.11 -0.01 1.12 -3.29
3 H Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 80-85 -7.38 3.58 -0.01 1.12 -4.15
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 39-** -2.28 8.68 -0.01 1.12 -1.29
3 H UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 58-78 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 1.12 -3.80
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 82-76 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.12 10.05
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 43-99 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 1.12 -1.04
3 H Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 53-64 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 1.12 -3.77
3 H Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 55-63 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 1.12 -4.16
3 H Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 51-81 -6.27 4.69 -0.01 1.12 -3.53
3 H UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 79-86 -6.89 4.07 -0.01 1.12 -3.88
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 76-72 -6.59 4.37 0.01 1.12 9.85
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 63-69 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.12 -3.56
3 H Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 39-76 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.12 -3.55
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 59-76 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.12 -2.87
3 H Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 45-71 -7.99 2.97 -0.01 1.12 -4.49
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 70-62 -6.18 4.78 0.01 1.12 10.78
3 H SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 41-63 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 1.12 -3.66
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 58-91 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.12 -2.96
3 H Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 54-60 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.12 -3.55
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 49-68 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.12 -3.56
3 H Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 60-65 -7.99 2.97 -0.01 1.12 -4.49
3 A We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 87-77 -5.09 5.87 0.01 1.12 13.21
3 H Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 53-79 -6.18 4.78 -0.01 1.12 -3.48
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 70-75 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.12 -2.96
3 H SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 52-67 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 1.12 -3.66
3 H SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 52-89 -6.59 4.37 -0.01 1.12 -3.71
3 A UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 67-60 -6.89 4.07 0.01 1.12 9.18
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-22.34
|
winning pts = 53.0709 losing points = -75.4115
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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